Friday, 18 May 2012

Scottish Cup Final - Heart of Midlothian v Hibernian

Heart of Midlothian v Hibernian


Hearts

Injuries - Hamill
Available Squad - MacDonald, McGowan, Zaliukas, Webster, Grainger, Prychynenko, Barr, Black, Santana, Driver, Skacel, Glen, Ridgers, Elliott, Mrowiec, Novikovas, Robinson, Holt, Smith, Morton, Taouil

Probable XI - MacDonald, McGowan, Zaliukas, Webster, Grainger, Driver, Black, Barr, Skacel, Robinson, Elliot (4-1-3-1-1)



Hibs

Injuries - Galbraith, Stack
Available - Brown, McPake, Kujabi, Hanlon, Doherty, Towell, Soares, Sproule, Osbourne, O'Donovan, O'Connor, Doyle, Francomb, Grant, Claros, O'Hanlon, Murray, Stevenson, Griffiths

Probable XI - Brown, Doherty, McPake, Hanlon, Kujabi, Claros, Soares, Stevenson, Osbourne, O'Connor, Griffiths (4-42)



Prediction : Hearts 1-0 Hibs


So here it is.....The "Salt 'n Sauce" final, with the old firm nowhere to be seen!

I make no apologies for my huge bias here for Hearts, being a Jambo for 36 years! Lets start by looking at the simple facts. Hibs have not beaten Hearts at the last 10 attempts including 7 defeats (last 3 in a row). Hearts finished the 38 game league campaign in 5th place whereas Hibs staved off relegation to end up 11th 19pts behind Hearts.

But why am I a little nervous? Well, it has not gone un-noticed that Hibs manager Fenlon is starting to slowly turn things round at the club, remember he was only appointed in November after a shambolic start under Colin Calderwood. The players that Fenlon has brought in are now making their mark, probably most notably in defence where McPake seems to have made them a lot more solid and Kujabi gives them an attacking dimension down the flank. They also now have a bit of grit combined with vision in midfield with Claros and Soares linking up well with the forwards. Upfront they are always going to be dangerous with pairing O'Connor and Griffiths. O'Connor is the clubs top goal scorer with 16 for the season but it is Griffiths that worries me the most as he is the type of nippy little player that has the ability to score a goal out of nothing.

I'm expecting Hearts to line up with a very similar looking side to the one that beat Celtic in the semi finals. The only question mark hangs over striker Beattie. He will definately play but whether he starts or not is in question as he has been out for the last 3 games with a hamstring injury, coupled with the fact that I don't actually think he has really been fit since he came to the club, highlighted by his belly shown when he did his shirt off celebration against Celtic. Hearts strength comes from a solid defence , even though the defence conceded 5 goals last outing against Celtic that is not an issue at all in my book. Hearts have only had 43 goals against them in the league which was only bettered by the old firm and for me Zaliukas and Webster have a great partnership in the middle of defence, both mobile and good in the air. We should deploy Barr as a holding midfielder just infront of them which allows Black to marshall the midfield. Driver and Skacel have the skills so it is only really goal scoring that concerns me. Hearts only managed 15 aways goals in the league this season which was the 2nd least in the divison and its a real problem when away from Tynecastle.

With all that said Hibs have been utter rubbish all season and if Hearts can just stay relaxed and crucially keep their disciple, we have the better players and should win the match but I can see it being a close one and it would surprise me if a sending off or a penalty could be the deciding factor.

So, in conlusion I'm prepared to shut out my horrible feels about Hibs not winning the cup since 1902 and the possibility that when they do it could be against their greatest rivals (some sort of destiny pish...) and I'm happy to go with my instincts and heart that the JAMBOS ARE THE BETTER TEAM AND WILL WIN @ 2.25 (Paddy Power)


Side bet : Rudi Skacel anytime scorer @ 3.4 (Sportingbet) for some reason this price is huge compared to other sports books, not sure why?



When the Hearts go up to lift the Scottish Cup, I'll be there, I'll be there................................

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