Friday, 16 November 2012

SPL - Sat 17th Nov Team News & Thoughts

Aberdeen v Celtic



Aberdeen


Injuries - Hughes, Jack, Naysmith, Milsom
Doubtful - Rae

Probable XI - Langfield, Robertson, Considine, Anderson, Reynolds, Clark, Hayes, McGinn, Osbourne, Fraser, Vernon (4-4-2)




Celtic


Injuries - Hooper, Rogne, Forrest, Izaguirre
Doubtful - Ledley, Brown

Probable XI - Forster, Matthews, Wilson, Ambrose, Mulgrew, Commons, Kayal, Wanyama, Samaras, Miku, Watt (4-3-1-2)


Prediction : Aberdeen 1-1 Celtic


Can see this match being an epic battle, Aberdeen are always well up for and relish the old firm visiting Pittodrie. Both teams are a little hampered buy injuries to the 1st team players but that didn't stop the Dons blast 4 goals past St Mirren last week and if this is them now starting to find the goals I have said all season that this was all they needed to add to their game as they have a really well balanced team. Best way to handle Celtic at the moment is to mark Wanyama out of the game, he's not really a playmaker but everything is coming through him at the moment and he is influencing each game massively. Has to be said Aberdeen's record against Celtic is awful but I can see them getting something out of this game or at least not getting a humbling like they have in recent years. Lets not forget that Aberdeen are unbeaten at home this season and will be keen to protect that record. I'm tempted by ABERDEEN +1 ASIAN HANDICAP @ 1.81 (Pinnacle)  as I feel understandably Celtic's focus is on the Champions League at the moment with qualification a genuine prospect now!





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Dundee v Hibs



Dundee


Injuries - Stewart, O'Donnell, Finnigan, McCluskey, Kerr, Easton

Probable XI - Douglas, Irvine, Gallagher, Benedictus, Lookwood, Riley, McBride, Davidson, McAlister, Nish, Milne (4-4-2) 





Hibs


Injuries - Deegan
Doubtful - McPake, Clancy

Probable XI - Williams, Maybury, Hanlon, Taiwo, McGivern, Witherspoon, Stevenson, Claros, Cairney, Doyle, Griffiths (4-4-2)



Prediction : Dundee 1-2 Hibs


Got to say Hibs were looking really good and confident in their play when I watched them beat Dundee Utd last Sunday. They were stroking the ball about with poise and control in an uncanny manner from the team that started the season that looked so fragile. They may well be without McPake & Clancy again for this game but that doesn't both me as their strength is in midfield and Griffiths and Doyles movement up top. Even though I have a stance that players from Leith should not be allowed to represent their nation you have to say that Griffiths has played his way into a weak Scotland B team........lol

Lets face it Dundee are poor but they are actually on the SPL form of their life at the minute with a draw and a win to their name in the last 2 fixtures but this still leaves the 4pts adrift at the bottom of the league. I reckon this Hibs team should see them off, maybe not as comfortably as they did at Easter Rd last month but easily enough. Hibs are nearly averaging 2 goals a game and I think this is a wise bet to place here. HIBS TO SCORE OVER 1.5 GOALS @ 1.91 (CORAL) seems nice if Griffiths and Co can stay to form! I'll have this as my NAP OF THE DAY





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Hearts v St Mirren



Hearts


Injuries - Hamill
Doubtful - Stevenson, Taouil

Probable XI - McDonald, McGowan, Webster, Zaliukas, Grainger, Barr, Driver, Novikovas, Stevenson, Sutton, Paterson (4-4-1-1)




St Mirren


Injuries - McGowan, McGregor, Adam


Probable XI - Samson, Van Zanten, Mair, McAusland, Dummett, Robertson, McLean, Goodwin, Imrie, Thompson, Parkin (4-4-2)



Prediction : Hearts 2-1 St Mirren

I'm going to give Hearts the nod in this fixture, with everything that going on at Tynecastle in the last week this game is set to be a sellout as the fans show their support to this fantastic club. Any other team in the league (except Hibs...) and I would not suggest a Hearts victory was forthcoming but St Mirren are in a terrible rut just now and have not won in their last 6 outtings. The only away win they have had all season was against bottom club Dundee but they should be boosted by the return for their captain Goodwin who really does lead by example. Hearts have a couple of doubts in Taouil and Stevenson who are ill but hopefully they can make the match, McGowan has also suggested on twitter that he will be knackered after playing for Australia midweek. Hearts enjoy a good record in this fixture and I just think with the crowd behind them we should really be seeing a home win here at decent odds. HEARTS WIN @ 2.0 (William Hill) appeals to me.





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St Johnstone v Ross County



St Johnstone


Injuries - McCracken, Beattie, Adams, Pawlett

Probable XI - Mannus, Mackay, Miller, Wright, C.Davidson, Millar, M. Davidson, Robertson, Craig, Vine, Tade (4-4-2)





Ross County


Injuries - Duncan, Scott, Corcoran, Lawson
Suspended - Quinn

Probable XI - Fraser, Fitzpatrick, Munro, Boyd, Kovacevic, Vigurs, Brittain, Glen, Kettlewell, Fotheringham, McMenamin (4-4-2)



Prediction : St Johnstone 2-1 Ross County


Apart from their defeat by Motherwell last time out and an early season loss to Aberdeen, Perth has been a stronghold for St Johnstone this season, put this together with Ross County only actually managing one away win (at Dundee) this season and I think this is a good spot to pick a St Johnstone win. Home Win @2.1 (Bet Fred) appeals to me. Also might have a stab at 2-1 correct score @ 9.0 (Coral) as this has been the scoreline on 3 occassions already this season and something tells me County will manage a goal.


Thursday, 15 November 2012

SPL - Friday 16th Nov Team News & Thoughts

Dundee Utd v Kilmarnock


Dundee Utd



Injuries - Vignal, Watson

Probable XI - Cierzniak, Douglas, Dillon, Gunning, McLean, Flood, Rankin, Mackay-Steven, Skacel, Daly, Russell (4-4-2)



Kilmarnock



Injuries - Gros, Hay, Racchi, McKenzie

Probable XI - Bell, Fowler, O'Leary, Nelson, Tesselaar, Borja, Kelly, Harkins, Pascali, Heffernam, Sheridan (4-4-2)



Prediction :  Dundee Utd 2-1 Kilmarnock

Both these teams put in decent 2nd half performances in their last matches, Kilmarnock scoring 3 times to see off Ross County and Utd coming back strongly when 2-0 down to on form Hibs and were unlucky not to take something from that game. Dundee Utd have been drawing a lot of matches at home recently but I think if Houston starts with his strongest team he can win this match. He had to sub on Gary Mackay-Steven after 30 mins last Sunday and it was clear to see the difference he made and once Rudi Skacel came on the chances started to flow for them. Johnny Russell had a real off game but we all know he is very capable on his day. I'm taking 3 bets for this match. BTTS @ 1.8 (Stan James), DUNDEE UTD HOME WIN @ 1.91 (Coral) and OVER 2.5 Goals @ 1.91 (William Hill)

Sunday, 11 November 2012

SPL - Sunday 11th Nov Team News & Thoughts

Hibs v Dundee Utd


Hibs


Injuries - Clancy, Deegan

Available Squad - Williams, Hanlon, McPake, Maybury, Claros, Cairney, Wotherspoon, Stevenson, Griffiths, Doyle, Caldwell, Stanton, Caldwell, Handling, Kuqi, Sproule, McGivern, Taiwo, Antell

Probable XI : Williams, Mayburn, mcPake, Hanlon, McGivern, Wotherspoon, Claros, Taiwo, Cairney, Doyle, Griffiths (4-4-2)



Dundee Utd


Injuries - Douglas, Vignal

Available Squad - Cierzniak, Watson, Dillon, Gunning, McLean, Flood, Rankin, Ryan, Russell, Daly, Dow, Armstrong, Millar, Gardyne, Robertson, Skacel, Gauld, Douglas, Hilson, Banks. Mackay-Steven


Probable XI : Cierzniak, Watson Dillon, Gunning, McLean, Flood, Rankin, Ryan, Mackay-Steven, Daly Russell (4-4-2)



Prediction : Hibs 1-2 Dundee Utd

Dundee Utd hold a serious hoo-doo over the dirty Hibees. Hibs only have 1 win inthier last 14 meetings but Hibs are strong at home this season unbeaten in 6 with 4 wins. Utd had to play an extra match midweek but I dont see that as a negative. With gary mackay-Steven back in the team and the firepower that Daly and Russell provide I think Utd will be too strong for Hibs defence which I still think is vunerable. All in all I'm taking DUNDEE UTD WIN @ 2.75 (CORAL)


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Celtic v St Johnstone


Celtic

Injuries - Izaguirre Rogne, Forrest, Hooper, Lassad

Available Squad - n/a

Probable XI : Forster, Matthews, Wilson, Ambrose, Mulgrew, Ledley, Wanyama, Kayal, Commons, Watt, Miku (4-4-2)



St Johnstone


Injuries - C. Davidson, Cregg, Pawlett, Beattie, Adams

Available Squad - Mannus, Mackay, Wright, Anderson, Millar, M Davidson, Tade, Craig, Hasselbaink, Robertson, McCracken, Miller, Caddis, Scobbie, Tobin, Kane, Tuffey, Gray, Vine, Moon


Probable XI : Mannus, Miller, Anderson, Wright, Mackay, Millar, M Davidson, Craig, Mclean, Tade, Vine (4-4-2)



Prediction : Celtic 2-1 St Johnstone



Obviously Celtic suffered a 2-0 home defeat to Kilmarnock after they played a midweek Champions League match away to Barca and again here after their epic win to Barca on Wednesday there will be question marks over their tiredness. Celtic pumped St Johnstone 5-0 in the league cup at Parkhead only a couple of weeks ago but they did suffer their first defeat of the season in Perth back in mid September. I fancy Tade and Vine to cause the Celtic defence some problems and certainly think the best price of a Cetlic win at 1.25 is completely unbackable. I'll give this match a big body swere but can see a home win. NO BET




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Friday, 9 November 2012

SPL - 10th Nov - Team News & Thoughts

Inverness v Hearts


Inverness


Injuries - Draper, King, Hogg, Ross

Available Squad - Reguero, Meekings, Raven, Warren, Blackman, G Shinnie, Morrison, A Shinnie, Pepper, Tudur Jones, Doran, McKay, Cooper, Polworth, Oswell, Brislen-Hall, Roberts, Foran, Sutherland, Esson

Probable XI - Reguero, Raven, Meekings, Warren, G. Shinnie, Doran, Tudur-Jones, Foran, Roberts, A. Shinnie, McKay (4-4-1-1)


Hearts


Injuries - Ridgers, Hamill, Carrick

Available Squad - MacDonald, R McGowan, Webster, Zaliukas, Grainger, Paterson, Barr, Taouil, Novikovas, Sutton, Driver, Robinson, Holt, D McGowan, McHattie, Smith, Enckelman, King, Stevenson

Probable XI - McDonald, McGowan, Zaliukas, Webster, Grainger, Barr, Taouil, Novikovas, Stevenson, Paterson, Sutton (4-4-1-1)



Prediction : Inverness 1-1 Hearts


Clearly my poor Jambo's have serious financial woe's at the moment which could even spell the end of them (but our amazing fans won't let that happen) but it was interesting to hear Jim Jeffries a couple of weeks ago say that it did seriously affect the players the last time round when they were not getting paid, so dont just think they are pro's and will get on with things on the park. Things like this DO affect players. Anyway I'm done talking about the money problems as its been discussed in the pub to the max at the moment, historically Hearts usually do pretty well up in Inverness but this time round they are facing a bang on form Butcher team that is now unbeaten in their last 9 matches which is pretty much remarkable imho given how shite they were last season. I think I have spotted a tidy little bet to place on this match with decent odds probably because of the fact that Inverness have been scoring so much recently and the fact that the majority of their games have been going over 2.5 goals. But I shall back UNDER 2.5 goals @ 1.85 (Bwin). Reason for this is that if you look at Hearts away games since the start of the season 7 out of 8 of them have stayed under 2.5 this is because we actually have one of the best defences in the league. Only Celtic and Aberdeen have let in less goals and if only we had a decent keeper then I reckon we would have the best defensive record in the SPL. Result wise I hope for a Hearts 1-1 draw but again scoring goals away from home is always a problem.


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Kilmarnock v Ross County


Kilmarnock


Injuries - Gros, Hay, Racchi

Available Squad - Bell, McKeown, Nelson, O'Hara, O'Leary, Johnson, Dayton, Tesselaar, Pascali, Kelly, Sheridan, Heffernan, McKenzie, Harkins, Letheren, Perez, Sissoko, Fowle

Probable XI - Bell, O'Hara, Nelson, O'Leary, McKeown, Pascali, Kelly, Harkins, Dayton, Sheridan, Heffernan (4-4-2)



Ross County


Injuries - Lawson, Duncan, Corcoran


Available Squad - Fraser, Tokely, Munro, Boyd, Fitzpatrick, Brittain, Quinn, Kettlewell, Vigurs, Fotheringham, Glen, McMenamin, Dingwall, Ross, Macphee, Scott, Cooper, Morrow, Kovacevic, Brown, Porrit

Probable XI - Fraser, Kovacevic, Boyd, Munro, Fitzpatrick, Brittain, Kettlewell, Fotheringham, Quinn, Ross, Vigurs (4-4-1-1)



Prediction : Kilmarnock 1-1 Ross County


Both these teams have had very similar form this season and it shows in the league positions as both are on 15pts with Kilmarnock winning slightly more games and County drawing more. It is County who have picked up a little recently and are now unbeaten in their last 3 games and I believe this will be enough to secure them a draw in this fixture and may be even a win. With my hatred of Kenny Shiels aside...... I'll be LAYING KILMARNOCK @ around 2.5 (betfair)



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Motherwell v Dundee


Motherwell


Injuries - Saunders
Douhtful - Hutchison
Available Squad - Randolph, Hateley, Hammell, Hutchinson, Kerr, Cummins, Ramsden, Lasley, Law, Carswell, Humphrey, Murphy, Higdon, Ojamaa, McHugh, Francis-Angol, Daley, Hetherington, Murray, Hollis

Probable XI - Randolph, Hateley, Hutchison, Ramsden, Lasley, Law, Humphrey, Murphy, Ojamaa, Higdon (4-4-2)



Dundee


Injuries - O'Donnell, Easton, Kerr, Grassi, Finnigan, McCluskey


Available Squad -Douglas, McGregor, Lockwood, Irvine, Webster, Conroy, McAlister, Baird, McIntosh, Davidson, Reid, Cavanagh, McBride, Riley, Milne, Boyle, Nish, Toshney, Benedictus, Gallagher

Probable XI - Douglas,  Irvine, McGregor, Lookwood, Benedictus, Riley, mcBride, Davidson, McAllister, Milne, Nish (4-4-2)



Prediction : Motherwell 2-0 Dundee

Motherwell have been through a terrible run of form lately but not helped by the midweek defeat to Dundee Utd, but I think the best medicine for them is a game against Dundee - the worst team in the league by a mile. Dundee stunned us again last week with their 2nd win of the season over Hearts but I'm happy to ignore that as they are still rubbish. Motherwell just have too much quality in their team to not win this match. Gonna take Motherwell -1.25 asian Handicap @ 2.15 (bet365)

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St Mirren v Aberdeen


St Mirren


Injuries - McGowan, McGregor
Suspended - Goowdin
Available Squad - Samson, Dummett, Mair, van Zanten, McAusland, Imrie, Reilly, Carey, Robertson, Teale, Guy, Parkin, Thompson, Smith, J McGinn, P McGinn, Barron, McLean

Probable XI -  Samson, Van Zanten, Mair, McAusland, Dummett, Reilly, McLean, Imrie, Carey, Thompson, Parkin (4-4-2)



Aberdeen


Injuries - Hughes,

Available Squad - Langfield, Reynolds, Anderson, Robertson, Smith, Osbourne, Hayes, Rae, McGinn,  Vernon, Fraser, Magennis, Naysmith, Clark, Rogers, Shaughnessy,

Probable XI - Langfield, Reynolds, Anderson, Considine, Robertson, Rae, Osborne, Fraser, Hayes, Vernon, McGinn (4-4-2)


Prediction : St Mirren 1-1 Aberdeen


Can't help but wonder why Aberdeen are priced as short as they are for this game. St Mirren are a little better when they play at home. The draw seems a more likely result to me and it has happened the last 5 times the sides have met! The Dons suffered only their 2nd defeat of the season last week against Ross County, but they have also draw more games than they have won. Take the DRAW @ 3.4 (bet365) also consider under 2.5 @ 1.8 (betvictor)



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Friday, 2 November 2012

SPL - Saturday 3rd Nov Team News & Thoughts‏

Dundee v Hearts

Dundee


Injuries - Easton, Grassi, O'Donnell, Stewart, Finnigan, McCluskey, Kerr

Available Squad - Douglas, McGregor, Lockwood, Irvine, Webster, Conroy, McAlister, Baird, McIntosh, Davidson, Reid, Cavanagh, McBride, Riley, Milne, Boyle, Nish, Toshney, Benedictus, Gallagher

Probable XI - Douglas, Irvine, Benedictus, Gallagher, Lookwood, Rilley, McBride, Conroy, Davidson, Nish, McAllister (4-4-2)




Hearts


Injuries - Stevenson, Ridgers, Carrick

Available Squad - MacDonald, R McGowan, Webster, Zaliukas, Grainger, Paterson, Barr, Taouil, Novikovas, Sutton, Driver, Robinson, Holt, D McGowan, McHattie, Smith, Enckelman, King.

Probable XI  - MacDonald, McGowan, Webster, Zaliukas, Grainger, Barr, Taouil, Novikovas, Driver, Paterson, Sutton (4-4-1-1)





Prediction:  Dundee 0-1 Hearts


Dundee have been a horror show since joining the SPL, and many feel sorry for them as it really should have been Dunfermline there instead of them. Other than their opening day draw at Kilmarnock and their shock win at Tynecastle Dundee have lost all their other games this season and at times by some margin. Hearts will be looking to avenge that silly defeat back in September but as always Hearts poor away form really does make the skinny odds of around 1.8 unbackable in my book. It's a NO BET for me but if you do fancy a flutter I would look at the HT/FT market for a bit of value and take it to be a draw at HT and Hearts win at FT



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Hibs v St Mirren


Hibs

Injuries - Deegan
Doubtful - Clancy
Available Squad - Williams, Clancy, Hanlon, McPake, Maybury, Claros, Cairney, Wotherspoon, Stevenson, Griffiths, Doyle, Caldwell, Stanton, Caldwell, Handling, Kuqi, Sproule, McGivern, Taiwo, Antell

Probable XI - Williams, Maybury, Hanlon, McPake, McGivern, Wotherspoon, Claros, Taiwo, Cairney, Doyle, Griffiths (4-4-2)




St Mirren


Injuries - McGowan, McGregor Adam

Available Squad - Samson, Dummett, Mair, van Zanten, McAusland, Goodwin, Imrie, Reilly, Carey, Robertson, Teale, Guy, Parkin, Thompson, Smith, J McGinn, P McGinn, Barron, McLean

Probable XI  - Samson, Van Zanten, Mair, McAusland, Dummett, Goodwin, McLean, Imrie, Carey, Thompson, Parkin (4-4-2)





Prediction:  Hibs 2-1 St Mirren


Hibs form is starting to scare me a little, they really are now starting to produce under Fenlon and look a real threat upfront nowadays. Last Fridays 4-0 win at Motherwell was a very convincing performance (I had to switch off.....lol) They'll still be without midfield dominator Deegan who is out with a broken jaw but they have coped well enough without him so far. In terms of this game one thing I note is that Hibs are actually top of the table as far as home games go with St Mirren only managing to be 3rd bottom of the "away table".  Given this and the fact that St Mirren were taken all the way to penalties by Aberdeen in the cup on Tuesday with Hibs well rested I think this is a great spot to back a home win. Best price for HIBS WIN @2.2 (William Hill) I think is a bit of a steal!


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Kilmarnock v Inverness



Kilmarnock


Injuries - Gros, Hay, Racchi
Doubtful - Sheridan
Available Squad - Bell, McKeown, Nelson, O'Hara, O'Leary, Johnson, Dayton, Tesselaar, Pascali, Kelly, Sheridan, Heffernan, McKenzie, Harkins, Letheren, Perez, Sissoko, Fowler

Probable XI - Bell, McKeown, Nelson, O'Leary, McKenzie, Pascali, Kelly, Johnson, O'Harra, Heffernan, Sheridan (4-4-2)




Inverness


Injuries - Foran, King, Hogg, Ross

Available Squad - Reguero, Meekings, Raven, Warren, Blackman, G Shinnie, Morrison, A Shinnie, Pepper, Draper, Tudur Jones, Doran, McKay, Cooper, Polworth, Oswell, Brislen-Hall, Roberts, Foran, Sutherland, Esson

Probable XI  - Reguero, Raven, Warren, Meekings, G. Shinnie, Doran, Tudur-Jones, Draper, Foran, A. Shinnie, McKay (4-4-1-1)





Prediction:  Kilmarnock 2-2 Inverness


Inverness are on an amazing run, unbeaten in 8 and winning 3-0 at 3rd division minnows Rangers midweek to secure their place in the semi finals of the cup. All this from a team I thought would be relegation dog fighters! They seem to have found goal scorer from all over the park and credit has to be given to big angry Terry Butcher as he took a risk clearing out a lot of players in the off season and bringing in a lot of unknowns from England. Kenny Shiels (that horrible man) is suggesting that Inverness are big favourites for this match but this is typical of his little mind games, I think his team will be very competitive here. It should be a high scoring affair, possibly a draw but certainly overs. Take OVER 2.5 @ 1.91 (William Hill)  Seems generous to me considering Killie have gone over in 8/10 and Inverness in 4 out of the last 5.



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Ross County v Aberdeen


Ross County


Injuries - Corcoran, Lawson, Duncan

Available Squad - Fraser, Tokely, Munro, Boyd, Fitzpatrick, Brittain, Quinn, Kettlewell, Vigurs, Fotheringham, Glen, McMenamin, Dingwall, Ross, Macphee, Scott, Cooper, Morrow, Kovacevic, Brown, Porrit

Probable XI - Fraser, Kovacevic, Munro, Boyd, Fitzpatrick, Brittain, Vigurs, Kettlewell, Quinn, McMenamin, Glen (4-4-2)




Aberdeen


Injuries - Considine, Jack, Fallon, Masson, Milson

Available Squad - Langfield, Reynolds, Anderson, Robertson, Smith, Osbourne, Hayes, Rae, McGinn, Hughes, Vernon, Fraser, Magennis, Naysmith, Clark, Rogers, Shaughnessy,

Probable XI  - Langfield, Reynolds, Anderson, Osbourne, Robertson, Rae, Hughes, Hayes, McGinn, Vernon, Magennis (4-4-2)





Prediction:  Ross County 1-1 Aberdeen

Aberdeen's 1-0 defeat to Celtic on the opening day of the season remains their only blemish and they have gone undefeated since then (in 90mins). It really has been some turnaround from Craig Brown's men since last season and they are sitting pretty up in 3rd place. Why? Well because they have managed to assemble a good squad of players with a blend of youth and experienced pro's. They have a really decent midfeld and are now proving to be decent in defence. If they could just score goals i reckon they would have turned the majority of draws into wins. The two teams drew 0-0 earlier in the season in Aberdeen and again I reckon this is going to be a hotly contested Highland derby with 2000 travelling Dandy Dons. County are starting to struggle a bit in the SPL and have only actually won once at home and drawing 3. DRAW I think is the key word here, Aberdeen love a draw. They have 6 times out of 11 in the league so far and if you had been backing them to draw since the start of the season you'd be well up so lets have a go here tomorrow. DRAW @ 3.3 (Paddy Power)



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St Johnstone v Motherwell


St Johnstone


Injuries - Pawlett, Beattie, Adams, Cregg

Available Squad - Mannus, Mackay, C Davidson, Wright, Anderson, Millar, M Davidson, Tade, Craig, Hasselbaink, Robertson, McCracken, Miller, Caddis, Scobbie, Tobin, Kane, Tuffey, Gray, Vine, Moon

Probable XI - Mannus, Miller, Anderson, McCracken, Mackay, M.Davidson, Craig, Moon, Millar, Tade, Vine (4-4-2)




Motherwell


Injuries - Hutchinson, Saunders

Available Squad - Randolph, Hateley, Hammell, Hutchinson, Kerr, Cummins, Ramsden, Lasley, Law, Carswell, Humphrey, Murphy, Higdon, Ojamaa, McHugh, Francis-Angol, Daley, Hetherington, Murray, Hollis.

Probable XI  - Randolph, Hateley, Kerr, Ramsden, Hammell, Lasley, Law, Murphy, Daley, Ojamaa, Higdon (4-4-2)





Prediction:  St Johnston 2-1 Motherwell


All of a sudden Stuart McCall's men are rubbish, and I can't quite pinpoint what the problem is as its basically the same group of players that were so good last term. They have now lost their last 4 games in a row and moral must be low. This will be a problem as they are facing a St Johnstone team that apart from a skelping midweek in the cup against Celtic have been doing really well recently and are unbeaten in their last 5 at home games and finding the net with regularity. I'm going for overs in this match as 7 out of the last St Johnstone games have gone this way and I feel Motherwell will also contribute with players like Murphy, Higdon and Law playing. OVER 2.5 GOAL @ 1.85 (Bet Victor) also consider TADE anytime scorer @ 3.4 (Skybet)


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Friday, 26 October 2012

SPL - Saturday 27th Oct Team News & Thoughts

Aberdeen v Dundee


Aberdeen


Injuries - Jack, Considine, Fallon

Available Squad - Langfield, Magennis, Robertson, Reynolds, Anderson, Osbourne, Rae, McGinn, Hughes, Fraser, Hayes, Vernon, Smith, Jordon Brown, Jason Brown, Clark, Milsom, Rogers, Shaughnessy, Naysmith

Probable XI - Langfield, Naysmith, Reynolds, Anderson, Robertson, Hughes, Rae, Osbourne, McGinn, Fraser, Vernon (4-3-3)



Dundee


Injuries - Kerr, Grassi, O'Donnell, Stewart, Finnigan, McCluskey

Available Squad - Douglas, McGregor, Lockwood, Easton, Irvine, Webster, Conroy, McAlister, Baird, McIntosh, Davidson, Reid, Cavanagh, McBride, Riley, Milne, Boyle, Nish, Toshney, Benedictus, Gallagher

Probable XI - Douglas, Irvine, McGregor, Benedictus, Lockwood, Riley, Davidson, McAllister, McBride, Nish, Milne (4-4-2)


Prediction : Aberdeen 2-0 Dundee


Dundee took a bit of a tonking last time out against Inverness losing 5-1 at home. I think Aberdeen have been waiting for a game like this to hand out a bit of a hiding to someone (Craig Brown has been dreaming of it for a while). But I dont think it will be a hiding in terms of scoreline but it might be in terms of the difference in the teams. Aberdeen still really struggle to get the goals they deserve and you've got to think Dundee have been practicing their defending all week so I think UNDER 2.5 GOALS @ 1.91 (William Hill) is worth a look in this match.




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Celtic v Kilmarnock


Celtic


Injuries - Stokes, Nouioui, McGeouch, Samaras

Available Squad - N/A

Probable XI - Forster, Matthews, Mulgrew, Wilson, Izaguirre, Ledley, Kayal, Wanyama, Commons, Forrest, Hooper (4-4-1-1)



Kilmarnock


Injuries - N/A

Available Squad - N/A

Probable XI - Bell, O'Leary, Pascali, Nelson, McKeown, Pursehouse, Kelly, Harkins, Fowler, Sheridan, Heffernan


Prediction : Celtic 2-0 Kilmarnock


Celtic will be feeling it after the defeat to Barcelona and the travel etc but they have a big enough squad to field enough fresh legs to still easily win this match. Kilmarnock will be more competitive now with Heffernan back to partner Sheridan up front. Still I can't see Killie getting much out of this match but its a NO BET, no value for me!




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Hearts v Ross County


Hearts


Injuries - Ridgers, Hammill, Carrick

Available Squad - MacDonald, R McGowan, Webster, Zaliukas, Grainger, Paterson, Barr, Taouil, Novikovas, Sutton, Driver, Robinson, Holt, D McGowan, McHattie, Stevenson, Smith, Enckelman

Probable XI - MacDonald, McGowan, Webster, Zaliukas, Grainger, Driver, Taouil, Barr, Novikovas, Paterson, Stevenson (4-4-1-1)



Ross County


Injuries - Morrow, Scott, Cooper, Corcoran

Available Squad - Fraser, Tokely, Munro, Boyd, Fitzpatrick, Brittain, Quinn, Kettlewell, Vigurs, Fotheringham, Glen, McMenamin, Dingwall, Ross, Macphee, Kovacevic, Brown, Porrit

Probable XI - Fraser, Boyd, Munro, Kovacevic, Fitzpatrick, Kettlewell, Brittain, Vigurs, Quinn, Fotheringham, McMenamin (4-5-1)


Prediction : Hearts 2-1 Ross County


It was back to winning ways for both these teams last week and sorely needed for both. Probably more so Ross County who hadn't won a match in the previous 6. They really have not been the same team since their long unbeaten run came to an end. All of a sudden they have become severely leaky at the back, shipping 12 goals in their last 4 games. I'm expecting Hearts to be pretty much unchanged from the win over Motherwell and with home advantage we really should be the dominant team here. County might nick a goal but I see Hearts getting on the scoresheet at least twice. HOME WIN @ 2.0 (William Hill)




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Inverness v St Johnstone


Inverness


Injuries - Foran, King, Hogg, Ross

Available Squad - Reguero, Meekings, Raven, Warren, Blackman, G Shinnie, Morrison, A Shinnie, Pepper, Draper, Tudur Jones, Doran, McKay, Cooper, Polworth, Oswell, Brislen-Hall, Roberts, Sutherland, Esson

Probable XI - Reguero, Meekings, Raven, Warren, G. Shinnie, Doran, Tudur-Jones, Draper, Sutherland, A. Shinnie, McKay (4-4-1-1)



St Johnstone


Injuries - Pawlett, Beattie, Adam, MacLean, Cregg

Available Squad - Mannus, Mackay, C Davidson, Wright, Anderson, Millar, M Davidson, Tade, Craig, Hasselbaink, Robertson, McCracken, Miller, Caddis, Scobbie, Tobin, Kane, Tuffey, Gray, Vine, Moon

Probable XI - Mannus, C.Davidson, Anderson, Wright,  Mackay, Hasselbaink, Millar, Craig, m.Davidson, Tade, Vine (4-4-2)


Prediction : Inverness 1-2 St Johnstone

Pretty much a bit of an OMG this....These two teams are basically the 2 form teams in the SPL at the moment, especially St Johnstone. After starting the season badly all of a sudden they are invincible winning their last SIX games on the trott! And I have no idea why!!! To be honest though, since the home win over Celtic they have had a favourable run of fixtures. Inverness also have won their last 3 in a row scoring unbelievably 11 goals in the process so I really am expecting some goals in this game and am a liitle surprised that I can get OVER 2.5 GOALS @1.91 (Paddy Power) I'll have a piece of that!




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St Mirren v Dundee Utd



St Mirren


Injuries - McGowan, McGregor, Adam

Available Squad - Samson, Dummett, Mair, van Zanten, McAusland, Goodwin, Carey, McLean, Guy, Robertson, Thompson, Parkin, Imrie, C Smith, Teale, Barron, P McGinn, J McGinn, Reilly

Probable XI - Samson, Van Zanten, Mair, McAusland, Barrow, Guy, Carey, McLean, Reilly, Imrie, Thompson (4-4-1-1)



Dundee Utd


Injuries - Vignal, Mackay-Steven

Available Squad - Cierzniak, Watson, Dillon, Gunning, McLean, Flood, Rankin, Ryan, Russell, Daly, Dow, Armstrong, Millar, Gardyne, Robertson, Skacel, Gauld, Douglas, Hilson, Banks

Probable XI - Cierzniak, Dillon, Watson, Gunning, Flood, Armstrong, Rankin, Gardyne, Robertson, Daly, Russell (4-4-2)


Prediction : St Mirren 1-2 Dundee Utd

Dundee Utd find themselves 2nd bottom of the league, they do have 2 games in hand but they are both tricky against Motherwell and Celtic so I dont actually think their position is that false. They have simply not produced the same performances as they achieved last year. The big news is they have managed to sign Rudi Skacel until January much to the disappointment of the Hearts fans who presumed he would rejoin at Tynecastle. I nice touch for the Jambos though is the fact he has asked for his number to be 51 after the famous 5-1 Hampden massacre he inflicted on Hibs last year.....lol   I imagine he wont start but has been training recently with Hearts so will probably feature at some point. He will be a useful fill in until Mackay-Steven returns.  St Mirren were a hopeless shambles against Celtic last week and looked a bit lost without McGowan. Peter Houstons troops need a vital win and I think they will squeeze it. DUNDEE UTD WIN @ 2.5 (Boylesports)




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Monday, 22 October 2012

Barcelona v Celtic

Barcelona v Celtic



Barcelona

Injuries - Puyol, Pique, Alves
Suspended - Busquets

Probable XI - Valdes, Montoya, Mascherano, Song, Alba, Fabregas, Iniesta, Xavi, Alexis, Messi, Villa (4-3-3)


Celtic


Injuries - McGeouch, Nouioui
Doubtful - Commons, Forrest, Wilson
Probable XI - Forster, Lustig, Wilson, Ambrose, Izaguirre, Mulgrew, Wanyama, Brown, Ledley, Samaras, Hooper (4-2-3-1)



Optimistic Celtic fans will go into this match rightly saying that Celtic are unbeaten in Europe this season after securing qualification into the group stages with impressive home and away wins in Helsinki and at Helsingborg. They followed that with a fantasic start to their group stage campaign securing a well earned draw against Benfica and then managing to take an unfancied 3pts back from Moscow (abeit with the aid of a red card). However, despite these recent improvements on their travels, people with a slightly longer memory will not have forgotten about that shockingly bad away record Celtic have in Europe. The hard facts are that the win against Spartak Moscow was their only win in their last 27 away matches in Europe proper (W1 D6 L20). So, probably the last place in europe you would want to be going to improve that record is Camp Nou where Barcelona are unbeaten in their last 17 Champions League home matches (W14 D3). Still Celtic's domestic form has been really good this season, if we ignore the hiccup against St Johnstone, they have gone all other games this season so far undefeated but some would argue this is to be expected in the SPL where they have a far superior squad to any rivals.


Clearly facing Barcelona is a daunting task, in my humble opinion Barca are still the best team in the world and best ever with arguably currently the 3 best players in the world in Xavi, Iniesta and Messi. In terms of ball retention, passing ability and vision I think you will struggle to see any better than Iniesta and particularly Xavi who is often the unsung meastro but only because Iniesta and Messi shine so brightly. If there are 2 better midfielders than Xavi and Iniesta in my era then simply they have not been born yet, as these guys are that good! I don't have to talk about Messi as it is all there to see, he is a freak of nature and has been the top scorer in the Champions League for the last 4 seasons in a row. Almost without fail he delivers in every, and I mean every, game he plays in breaking record after record in his extrodinary career. 

If there was to be any glimer of hope for Celtic it would be that under Tito Vilanova, he has made Barca slightly more open at the back, in part due to injuries I suppose, but they are definately a little more vunerable now than they were under the charge of Pep Guardiloa. Vilanova has a more, "we'll score more goals than you" attitude and to be fair they normally do. There have been a few examples of this already, last time out against Deportivo it ended 5-4, at Sevilla it was 3-2 and on the opening night of the group stages they won a shot-out style game against Spartak Moscow 3-2 also. I imagine they will go with the partnership of midfielders Mascherano and Song in central defence again but mind you Mascherano is probably now more experienced in defence than in the middle of the park. Dani Alves will also misses the match so youngster Montoya is likely to step in at right back. These are the area that Celtic need to target if they get the chance as the defence will also not have the protection of Busquets who normally sits and holds letting the attacking players do what they are best at.

The shape that Lennon used in Moscow was a bit of a surprise from his usual 4-4-1-1 away tatics, he deployed more of a 4-2-3-1 formation using strangley Mulgrew and Wanyama to sheild the back four. Commons and Samaras give the width leaving Brown to roam free and add support to Hooper which oddly I reckon suits his style of play as he is not the best at sticking to a certain area of the pitch instead he chases the ball (some would say like a headless chicken....lol)
Anyway it wouldn't surprise me given the success they had in Moscow that Lennon tries this formation again.

However, I am a realist and the gulf in class between the 2 teams here is basically as big as you are likely to see in the Champions League this year. Barcelona have embarrassed and hammered far better teams than Celtic in the Champions League and I think if Celtic can escape with their dignity that might well be a good result. Their biggest worry apart from the possession that Barcelona will have is their passing accuracy, put simply they should be able to pass the ball around Celtic with ease. Messi is scoring for fun again this season and it is difficult to see any match where he is not going to net at least once. The attacking pace that Barca have whether the start with Pedro or Alexis out wide together with Villa will be too much for Celtics cumbersome centre halfs and I can see them being hopelessly exposed on numerous occassions. There should be no debate, well apart from may be in Glasgow's east end, as to who is going to win this match but instead I will focus on how many team goals Barcelona can score. It has been over a year since Celtic have let in more than 3 goals in any match but I think tomorrow night they may well be out of their depth without any armbands.......



Prediction : Barcelona 5-0 Celtic


BET : Barcelona team goals over 3.5