Friday 3 August 2012

SPL - Open Day team news & thoughts

Celtic v Aberdeen


Celtic


Injuries - Bangura
Doubts - Brown, Forrest
Available Squad - Forster, Matthews, Wanyama, Rogne, Lustig, Mulgrew, Wilson, Izaguirre, Commons, Brown, Forrest, McCourt, Ledley, Kayal, Samaras, Stokes, Hooper, Zaluska, McGeouch, Twardzik

Probable XI : Forster, Matthews, Mulgrew, Lustig, Izaguirre, Commons, Wanyama, Kayal, Ledley, Hooper, Stokes (4-4-2)



Aberdeen


Injuries - none
Available Squad - Langfield, Brown, Foster, Considine, Anderson, Naysmith, Robertson, Jack, Hughes, Rae, Milsom, Vernon, Fallon, Hayes, McGinn, Osbourne, Megginson, Magennis, Fraser, Paton, Pawlett

Probable XI: Langfield, Foster, Considine, Anderson, Naysmith, Hayes, Milsom, Rae, Jack, Vernon, McGinn (4-4-2)



Prediction : Celtic 2-0 Aberdeen


I can see Neil Lennon resting Samaras for the european game and going Stokes and Hooper up front for this game. There are doubts over the fitness of both Forrest and Scott Brown so I imagine they will not feature either.  I've got to admit that the Aberdeen team is looking much better this season and notably in defence where they actually look quite solid (famous last words...) For me though Celtic are simply better all over the park and I expect a comfortable home win. I read somewhere that Celtic haven't lost an opening day fixture sine 1997 season when a certain Mr Larsson made his debut. If they can get off to one of their flying starts I think a pop at the Celtic HT/FT @ 1.83 (Paddy Power) looks nice.




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Hearts v St Johnstone


Hearts


Injuries - Hammill
Suspended - Grainger
Available Squad - MacDonald, Ridgers, Barr, McGowan, Zaliukas, Webster, McKay, McHattie, Templeton, Taouil, Driver, Prychynenko, Holt, Novikovas, Thomson, Walker, Sutton, Robinson, G Smith, D Smith

Probable XI : McDonald, McGowan, Zaliukas, Webster, McHattie, Driver, Barr, Templeton, Taouil, Robinson, Sutton (4-4-1-1)



St Johnstone


Injuries - none
Available Squad - Mannus, Mackay, C Davidson, Wright, Anderson, M Davidson, Tade, Craig, Hasselbaink, Cregg, Miller, Moon, Tuffey, Higgins, McCracken, Adams, May, Scobbie, Vine

Probable XI: Mannus, C. Davidson, Wright, McCracken, Miller, Cregg, M. Davison, Millar, Craig, Tade, Vine (4-4-2)



Prediction : Hearts 1-0 St Johnstone

Jambos will be looking to get the season off to a good start with a solid home win but come up against a St Johnstone team who already have 2 competitive games played already in the Europa Cup qualifying. Hearts have had a decent pre-season with 3 wins out of 4 against Raith Rovers, Dunfermline and Rotherham and narrowly getting beaten by Falkirk 1-0. With no new arrivals McGlynn is having to make do with a mixture of experience sprinkled with some very promising youngsters who will be keen to make their mark. St Johnstone are quickly becoming a bit of a bogey team for Hearts and last season the 4 league fixtures produced 3 wins for St Johnstone and only 1 home win for Hearts. I'm tempted to back Hearts for a win at 2.1 but do worry a little bit about the extra match fitness/sharpness that St Johnston may have. I do see goals in this game with John Sutton firing well since his return from Australia and feel St Johnstone at least have a goal in them with big Tade and new signing Vine (if he plays) scoring a couple of goals in a friendly win over Bristol City last week. I'll have a go at OVER 2.5 goals @ 2.1 (Paddy Power)



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Kilmarnock v Dundee


Kilmarnock


Injuries - Heffernan, Hay, Pursehouse
Available Squad - Bell, Tesselaar, Fowler, O'Leary, Nelson, Kelly, Harkins, Johnson, McKenzie, Dayton, Pascali, Boulding, Kennedy, Racchi, Fisher, McKeown, Winchester, Letheren

Probable XI : Bell, Tesselaar, Fowler, O'Leary, Pascali, Nelson, Kelly, Harkins, Kennedy, Racchi, Boulding  (4-5-1)



Dundee


Injuries -
Available Squad - Douglas, McGregor, Lockwood, Benedictus, Gallagher, Irvine, Webster, McBride, Conroy, Baird, McIntosh, Stewart, Davidson, Grassi, McCluskey, Reid, Cavanagh, Baird

Probable XI: Douglas, Benedictus, Gallagher, McGregor, Lockwood, Webster, Irvine, McBride, Conroy, McIntosh, J. Baird (4-4-2)



Prediction : Kilmarnock 2-0 Dundee

Killie fans will be disappointed that they have lost Dean Shiels to Rangers and he will be a big miss, especially as they are a bit short up from and for this match in particular as Heffernan is unavailable also. I'm expecting to see a bit of a make shift lineup from Kenny Shiels but we could see new signing Boulding making his debut together with right back Tesselaar. Kilmarnock had a good run out against Bristol City at the weekend only losing out to a late goal in a 2-3 defeat.  As a measure of how poorly run Scottish football is Dundee actually had to play in the League Cup last week and have only had 3 weeks notice to prepare for being in the Premier giving them very little chance to budget or even bring in some players. They have brought in one player though, Mark Stewart, but I reckon he will only start from the bench. Without doubt Dundee are odds on favourites to go straight back down and I have to agree - they could well be out of their depth here. Home Win @ 2.0 (Ladbrokes) appeals to me.
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Ross County v Motherwell


Ross County


Injuries - Quinn
Suspended - Kettlewell
Available Squad - Fraser, Malin, Boyd, Munro, Tokely, Fitzpatrick, Brittain, Lawson, Vigurs, Corcoran, Scott, Quinn, Duncan, Cooper, Byrne, Craig, Glen, Morrow, McMenamin

Probable XI : Fraser, Boyd, Munro, Tokely, Morrison, Corcoran, Brittain, Craig, Vigurs, Scott, McMenamin (4-4-2)



Motherwell


Injuries - Saunders, Carswell
Available Squad - Randolph, Hateley, Hammell, Hutchinson, Ramsden, Law, Lasley, Murphy, Humphrey, Higdon, Ojamaa, Daley, Murray, Page, McHugh, Cummins, Hetherington, Holli

Probable XI: Randolph, Hateley, Hutchison, Ramsden, Hammell, Humphrey, Law, Lasley, Murphy, Ojamaa, Higdon (4-4-2)



Prediction : Ross County 1-2 Motherwell


Ross county have continued their romp to the first division title with an unbeaten friendly preseason including a victory over Coventry. They simply cant stop scoring goals and I'm expecting McMenamin to find the transition to the top flight no problem as he is a goal scorer, with 20 goals last season. It's a tough opening day trip for Motherwell but they'll be used to tough challanges having been comprehensively beaten 2-0 by Panathinaikos midweek in their champions league qualifier. Motherwell still boast a really good starting XI this year and they too are full of goals so for me the OVER 2.5 Goals @ 1.75 (Bet Victor) looks a decent bet in this match. The result is a harder call but I would favour Motherwell.



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St Mirren v Inverness


St Mirren


Injuries - Carey
Suspended - Goodwin, Thompson, McAusland
Available Squad - Samson, van Zanten, McGregor, Mair, Imrie, Robertson, McGowan, Adam, McLean, McKernon, Parkin, Reilly, Teale, Naismith, Barron, Lamont, Kelly, Guy

Probable XI : Samson, Van Zanten, McGregor, Mair, Robertson, McGowan, McLean, Imrie, Teale, Kelly, Parkin (4-4-1-1)



Inverness


Injuries - Hogg
Suspended - Foran
Available Squad - Esson, Reguero, G Shinnie, Meekings, Warren, Raven, King, Pepper, Draper, Tudur Jones, A Shinnie, Ross, Morrison, Doran, Laing, Polworth, Sutherland, McKay, Oswell

Probable XI: Esson G. Shinnie, Cooper, Meekings, Raven, Sutherland, Draper, Doran, Morrison,  A. Shinnie, McKay (4-4-2)



Prediction : St Mirren 0-1 Inverness

I reckon St Mirren will struggle here because they are missing 3 first team players all through suspension and they are all key players. Not too sure what to make of Inverness's new signings yet but they also had an impressive 3-1 win over Coventry the other week. St Mirren have yet to get a win over Inverness at their new ground and I can see that hoodoo remaining. I think this is a good spot to LAY St Mirren @ 2.41 (betfair)



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